US-China Forum (English)
                             
  • Home
  • Weekly Forum
  • About Us
  • Contact Us
  • Special Events
  • Donate
  • Article
  • 中文

Will Trump Be Convicted and Put in Jail? So What!

4/29/2023

0 Comments

 
Dr. Wordman

Following a Manhattan grand jury's vote on March 30th, 2023, to indict Donald Trump, the Former president is the first ex-President facing criminal charges, an American first in American political history. The Prosecutor of Manhattan Court, Alvin Bragg, has not publicly announced the specific charges against Trump but Trump is alleged to be facing more than two dozen charges focusing on his role in paying hush-money to a porn star, Stormy Daniels, to bury a 'sex scandal' case during his presidential campaign in 2016. Trump surrendered himself in a New York State courthouse, where he has been photographed and fingerprinted as a criminal suspect with the specific charges against him revealed. Trump, in a statement, has described the case as a politically motivated witch hunt, “This is political persecution and election interference at the highest level in history.” Trump called Bragg, a democrat, “a disgrace” and declared himself as “a completely innocent person.”
Trump had decades of experience in fighting criminal charges during his business career, earning him a 'Teflon' reputation for avoiding prosecution. However, this case is related to his business behavior during his presidential campaign, before serving as the president of the U.S. The other recent investigations about his actions in the White House, such as his abrasive tactics dealing with international affairs or interference with elections, or agitating a mob storming the U.S. capitol, can be truly regarded as political affairs. Hence, Mr. Trump’s lawyers, Susan R. Necheles and Joseph Tacopina, said in a statement. “President Trump did not commit any crime,....We will vigorously fight this political prosecution in court.”, this 'hush money' case should be really judged as a common citizen's criminal offense, not as a president on trial. Trump has declared his intention to contest the 2024 presidential election and has appeared to be the Republican front runner, therefore, this hush-money case will no-doubt have an impact on the 2024 presidential election. For this reason, the title question is very significant, and deserves a serious discussion and a fair answer. We will focus on the initial media reaction to the Trump case. 

In an American jury system, whether Trump will be convicted or not can be known only when the jury of Manhattan court decides. Whether Trump will be put in jail or not also cannot be known until the court judge rules. However, Trump could have his constitutional right to run, serve and govern the nation if he were elected even if he was convicted or jailed. In a long article in Fortune and The Conversation (Donald Trump can still run for president after his indictment—and even govern from jail by Stephanie Lindquist, March 30, 2023), Lindquist (Foundation Professor of Law and Political Science of Arizona State University), cites Article II of the constitution and memos from Department of Justice reflecting Watergate case in 1973 and concluded that a sitting president could not be indicted while in office simply because “physical interference with the President’s performance of his official duties that it would amount to an incapacitation.” and “The spectacle of an indicted President still trying to serve as Chief Executive boggles the imagination.” (Dealing with international leaders, classified secrets, national securities, etc.); thus “obviously the presidency cannot be conducted from jail.” 

Interestingly, American history tells us that in 1920, Eugene Debs ran for the U.S. presidency and received one million votes out of 26.2 million cast. This suggests that Trump may run for president if jailed. There were rumors claiming that one of the reasons Trump was so upset about losing the 2020 presidential election was that he needed the presidency to fend off convictions or jail terms. This would be logical if Trump felt that he would surely be indicted for criminal charges. This also explained the timing of this hush money case indictment that took place after Trump was out of the White House and before he was elected again, over a long six years of time.  Judging from Trump's character and his current popularity within the Republican party, Trump will not stop campaigning for the presidency. Surveying the early news reports on the public reaction to Trump's indictment, we find some very interesting facts that should be highlighted for our readers.
First, the Trump indictment news broke out on March 30th, immediately on the same day then the next three days, there were lots of reports and analyses appearing in the media, including newspapers, television stations, and magazines. Overwhelmingly, the discussions were related to the highlighted sentences in the above paragraphs. These appearing as coordinated media reports are focusing not on the merit of the indictment but on the possible effect on Trump's campaign for the 2024 presidential election. Second, the media is suggesting that the public does not seem to care about Trump's indictment, including headlines such as  Trump Indicted, Polls Suggest Republicans Won't Care ...(Forbes), Even if charged and convicted, Trump can still run in 2024 (Japan Today), Republicans Erupt in Outrage and Rush to Defend ...(NY Times), Cities bracing for protests in response to former Pres. Trump's ... (ABC, YouTube), and GOP calls for Biden charges after Trump Indictment (NY Post).

Another observation that may be pointed out is that if you browse the news from March 30 to April 2, one gets a feeling that the media is responding to a 'PR' crisis or damage control orchestrated by a pro-Trump effort. Even CNN news headlines show such a sentiment: Donald Trump has been indicted, Here is what we know, Ivanka Trump breaks silence on her dad's indictment, Would Trump be indicted if he weren't running? What's next for Donald Trump after his indictment? Surprisingly, academic professionals would offer a positive prediction for Trump as well: “It’s simultaneously embarrassing, but also makes him something of a martyr,” says Saikrishna Prakash, a distinguished constitutional law professor at the University of Virginia Law School. Many legal experts and political pundits on March 30th evening were rushed to comment, including the statement, “It could help Trump, thrusting him into the national spotlight.” Alan Dershowitz, a Harvard law professor, said on Newsmax that a mugshot of Trump could serve as a campaign poster for his campaign.

Of course, the media mood may change as new events occur. American media are not short of manipulation, especially during elections. However, the sex scandal involving Stormy Daniels and Trump is nearly seven years old. There is not much more juice the media can squeeze out. Perhaps, that is why the news media seems to be anxious to turn an old sex-scandal and hush-money case into an election drama, in which Trump can act very well. Therefore, the author feels appropriate to put 'So what!” as the answer to the question: “Will Trump Be Convicted and Put in Jail?” for us readers.


0 Comments

The Media Needs Press Conferences with Positive Energy

4/22/2023

0 Comments

 
Dr. Wordman, Columnist for the US-China Forum
**  Thoughts Triggered by Foreign Minister Qin Gang’s
International Press Conference at the People’s Congress  **
  
The media world has changed significantly in recent years, and this evolution has two driving forces. One kind of power comes from the development of science and technology. Due to the rapid progress and wide-spread of telecommunication networks and communication equipment around the world, through oceans and space covering the globe, we now see increased speed, coverage, popularity, and diversification of media in both aspects of information: transmission and presentation. Multimedia has surpassed the scope of printing and radio/television broadcasting and entered a variety of new info-vision technologies. On the one hand, media is taking advantage of high-speed networks including wireless and space communications, and on the other hand, media is spreading to mobile phones, electronic notepads, and even electronic watches. This has had a revolutionary impact on the media industry, especially in news reporting. The invisible shortening of time and space enables a large amount of media information to be disseminated around the world in real- time. This is a good change. Advances in technology have also provided opportunities for innovation. For example, TikTok has provided an innovative platform for media entrepreneurs who create self-made media content..
 
But the media is also impacted by a second force, which is the power of capital. The above-mentioned scientific and technological progress is naturally the result of capital investment. Therefore, without large capital, it is impossible to operate large, progressive, and diversified media enterprises. The unfortunate result is that the world's media has gradually become controlled and monopolized by a few multinational consortia. The media consortia have great influence on news coverage, commentary, and distribution around the world. Furthermore, coupled with the advancement of media technology, the number of media professionals required has increased significantly, and many technology-savvy workers are required for interviewing, content production, dissemination, and marketing of news. This is also the reason why small companies cannot compete and survive in the media market. At present, in the media industry, large companies have annexed and integrated small media operators through mergers and acquisitions. Big media enterprises have become owners of mass media.
 
This phenomenon took shape when the United States was leading the development of technology. With the advancement of technology, American media enterprises have grown into international conglomerates controlling global mass media. Although the United States advertises freedom of speech, the so- called freedom is controlled by capital. The greater the capital brings the stronger the control, and offers greater competitiveness which can win the greater market share. Therefore, under the two-party political system in the United States, the media industry has also evolved into a bi-polar system. The American people are influenced by the polarized media;, thus they tend to exhibit polarized views and behavior. People with self-discipline and reasoning ability often give up on American mass media, shaking their heads and sighing that the polarized mass media offer nothing worth watching and reading. Under the atmosphere in which the mass media serves its patrons and owners for making profits, the mass media naturally loses its independence and impartiality regarding journalism. What's more, think-tank researchers in the United States are also influenced by their funders. Hence, they often take the same stance and tone as their sponsors who have certain media affiliations. This is often seen in commentaries on news issues. This situation is extremely prone to produce false or biased news reports and analyses. The recent ‘coordinated’ news coverage of the Chinese civilian balloon drifting into the United States is an example that confirms the above phenomenon.
 
Unfortunately, the sentiment of ‘fear of China's rise’ has made the U.S. politicians of both Republican and Democrat parties have the same anti-China stance as the military-industrial complex and their corporate financiers do. This has led to a nearly unanimous anti-China media in the U.S. The discussions at recent press conferences at the White House and Congress are all anti-China. News about China is selectively reported in the mass media, for example, the Chinese civilian balloon drifted over the U.S. was highly publicized with criticism, but the latest achievements of China’s space station program were hardly mentioned in mass media. The distorted interpretation and negative reports on China's positive proposal of promoting world peace and its twelve-point guidelines for persuading cease-fire in the Russo-Ukraine confrontation clearly demonstrated that the U.S. media has lost its credibility. Of course, some fair and rational discourses on issues related to China can still be found in the United States, but they cannot enter the controlled mass media. Americans have no choice but to be led by the mass media. The above-mentioned 'TikTok' media platform is very popular with individuals, especially young people all over the world, including the United States, to express their ideas, but it is now facing the crisis of being banned by legislation in the US Congress for national security concerns. Obviously, freedom of speech is second to capitalists' financial interests.
 
China's new foreign minister Qin Gang's performance and remarks at the international press conference of the two sessions are very impressive. Instant Translator is also very good. With the development of global media technology, it is impossible for this press conference to be completely buried by the West, but it will never be widely reported in the United States. After watching the video of Foreign Minister Qin's press conference, the author naturally had the above thoughts. From getting information point of view, Foreign Minister Qin gave very good answers to all questions. For example, to a pointed question by a Japanese journalist about the future relationship between China and Japan, Qin reminded Japan not to forget history and repeat behaviors leading to war crimes. The Chinese people will not forget or forgive such crimes. This is indeed the key point to the Sino-Japan relationship. The minister also gave informative answers to questions about the Belt and Road Initiative, supported by numerical data and details. Qin also welcomed other countries to propose development plans to join BRI, if there is no ideological intent or selfish geopolitical objectives, China is willing to cooperate with everyone. This press conference contains a lot of information and positive answers, in sharp contrast to the recent American official press conferences full of accusations with no evidence. Qin's conference is very worthy of our world's attention. Today's media needs this kind of positive press conference, let's circulate it through the organic media.





0 Comments

Significance of Macron’s U.S. State Visit - Verifying GPS at a Cross Road

4/15/2023

0 Comments

 
Dr. Wordman
 
Emmanuel Macron and his wife Brigitte made a 3-day state visit to the U.S. from November 29 to December 1st. This is the first state visit of Biden’s Administration, officially announced as the most important visit of an old ally, freedom and democracy fighter, and key partner of the U.S. (after the U.K. exited the EU, PM Boris Johnson and Liz Truss resigned and Germany Chancellor Angela Merkel retired). It was clear that the ‘bromance’ between Trump and Macron was soured over Trump’s view on the expansive and expensive NATO. Later the U.S. - France relationship hit the bottom since the U.S. highjacked the Australian submarine deal from France. The current overextending Russia-Ukraine war, the U.S. Indo-Pacific policy targeting China raising world tension plus a list of global issues such as Iran, climate, energy, supply chain and economy all hanging over Macron’s mind despite his frequent phone calls with Biden (7 one on one calls and a dozen joint calls with other leaders). Although the U.S. diplomatic stand is playing up the old U.S.-France ally relationship and praising Macron with words pleasing to his ears such as strongest U.S. partner, leader of G7 and EU and defender of democracy, the real concern of Macron is that as a 44-year old young world leader, he is standing at a crossroad. The first choice is to follow the U.S. leadership in joining the U.S.-led alliance targeting rising China. The second choice is to act independently rallying the EU to consider its own interest in dealing with world affairs, particularly its relationship with China. Put it in a plain language, Macron needs to check the GPS signal and the real road signs at the crossroad to determine where to go. This glamorous U.S. State Visit and his planned trip to China next year may just prove to be an orientation scout tour to find out whether Uncle Sam is a true pro-Atlanticist caring about the EU or the old Oriental China really has world harmony in her DNA.
 
Prior to the State Visit, Macron had made his complaint clear that the U.S. in solving its domestic problems should not transfer them to Europe. Specifically, he is referring to the U.S. subsidy program to help the U.S. domestic electric vehicle industry which will hurt the European auto industry and export economy, and the U.S. semiconductor policy luring hi-tech manufacturing and supply chain to move to the U.S. while cutting off export to China. These subsidies clearly violate WTO regulations which supposed to protect the free market principles. After the glamorous visit, did Macron obtain any substantial concession from Biden? Based on their joint announcement, press conference, and media report, we would say that the U.S. did not admit any wrongdoing, neither the Administration nor Congress would apologize for their domestic measures. Macron said he did not want the U.S. to give France/Europe anything special whereas Biden offered a conciliatory tone by agreeing to ‘review and adjust’, if necessary. This outcome is expected since the White House had all along decided to pacify Macron with a first glamorous State Visit but would not yield anything to him for two reasons. One, the U.S. would not boost Macron’s gesture as the leader of Europe. Second, the present Europe did not have much to bargain for. Biden essentially treated this State Visit as a social event no matter how hard Macron tried to convince him that  he needed to change his policies and how hard he tried to reach the American people (Macron resorted to English answers in the press conference to reach Americans directly).
 
However, the above observations were on the surface, a lot of events might have a direct or indirect impact on the U.S.- France or U.S.-Europe relations. By reviewing these events, we might discover more hidden truths than what meets the eye. The Russian-Ukraine war is certainly the focal point of world affairs. It is increasingly clear that the rage Russia-Ukraine conflict has become a U.S.-Russia confrontation with Europe acting as an ally of the U.S. As the war rolled on with the bombing of the ocean gas pipes compounding oil sanctions, some European countries, especially the leading nations have experienced severe economic hardship. The only country that benefitted from the Russia-Ukraine war seems to be the U.S. (chipping in surplus weapons but gaining huge profits from energy sales replacing the Russian sales). The U.S.-China policy (Indo-Pacific strategy) not only appears more like Cold War II but also mimic the Russia-Ukraine war with Taiwan Strait tension. The similarity is that the U.S. might be again the only beneficiary when U.S. allies in NATO and Indo-Pacific were dragged into the anti-China conflict. Chancellor Schotz of Germany visited China last month. European Council President Charles Michel is visiting China as Macron is completing his visit to the U.S. Are these separate trips independent of each other? Hell no, for all you know, these trips were all coordinated prior to, during and after the EU Council meeting in October.
 
If Macron were serious trying to get the EU to carve out an independent path free from U.S. control, he must convince the EU to act as a union. He also needs to get Germany’s full support. It is likely that these trips convinced their suspicion that the U.S. will be stubborn in strategy to maintain its supremacy by crushing China’s rise no matter who else will be the collateral victim. These trips may also convince these leaders that China’s rise may not be a real threat to Europe, or the world as being painted. Europe stands to benefit in a multi-polar world especially with China’s market opening to Europe while the U.S. market is shrinking from Europe. If this scenario were true, then Macron’s State Visit to the U.S. may open a new chapter of world diplomacy. We shall be able to see its new direction clearly after Macron steps onto China’s soil next year.
 




0 Comments
<<Previous


    An advertisement
    will go here.




    Archives

    February 2025
    January 2025
    December 2024
    November 2024
    October 2024
    September 2024
    August 2024
    July 2024
    June 2024
    May 2024
    April 2024
    March 2024
    February 2024
    January 2024
    December 2023
    November 2023
    October 2023
    September 2023
    August 2023
    July 2023
    June 2023
    May 2023
    April 2023
    March 2023
    February 2023
    January 2023
    December 2022
    November 2022
    October 2022
    September 2022
    August 2022
    July 2022
    June 2022
    May 2022
    April 2022
    March 2022
    February 2022
    January 2022
    December 2021
    November 2021
    October 2021
    September 2021
    August 2021
    July 2021
    June 2021
    May 2021
    April 2021
    March 2021
    February 2021
    January 2021
    December 2020
    November 2020
    October 2020
    September 2020
    August 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020
    February 2020
    January 2020
    December 2019
    November 2019
    October 2019
    September 2019
    August 2019
    July 2019
    June 2019
    May 2019
    April 2019
    March 2019
    February 2019
    January 2019
    December 2018
    November 2018
    October 2018
    September 2018
    August 2018
    July 2018
    June 2018
    May 2018
    April 2018
    March 2018
    February 2018
    January 2018
    December 2017
    November 2017
    October 2017
    September 2017
    August 2017
    July 2017
    June 2017
    May 2017
    April 2017
    March 2017
    February 2017
    January 2017
    December 2016
    November 2016
    October 2016
    September 2016
    August 2016
    July 2016
    June 2016
    May 2016
    April 2016
    March 2016
    February 2016
    January 2016
    December 2015
    November 2015
    October 2015
    September 2015
    August 2015
    July 2015
    June 2015
    May 2015

    RSS Feed

Proudly powered by Weebly